In the January issue of the American Funeral Director, beginning on page 24, you will find an article I wrote regarding the demographics of Baby Boomer mortality. Up till now, analysts in our profession have used very indirect methods of estimating how and when the baby boom will impact the volume of deaths in this country.
As an alternative, I pieced together existing government statistics in a way which more clearly predicts the outcome of boomer mortality.
For those of you that subscribe, please take a look and then post a comment. I would appreciate the feedback.
One thing I will note ahead of time about the article. The numbers used show a complete national picture. Of course in any particular town or neighborhood, the demographics could vary greatly from the average national growth of 40%. Business planning on a local level will require checking conditions carefully. In a few parts of the country, growth will be on the order of 300% or more and in other parts (because of regional job losses and the like) deaths will actually decline. So before making any major strategic decisions, test the status of local conditions first.
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